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ORIGINAL RESEARCH |



From the Departments of *Pathology,
Biostatistics, and
Physiopathology, Institut Curie;
Laboratory of Dr. René Cartier; ¶Laboratory of Immunology and Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale U396, Hôpital Saint-Louis, Paris, France.
Address reprint requests to: Xavier Sastre-Garau, MD, PhD, Laboratoire de Pathologie, Institut Curie, 26 rue d'Ulm, 75231, Paris Cedex, France; e-mail: xavier.sastre{at}curie.net.
| ABSTRACT |
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METHODS: The study sample was composed of 86 women with CIN1 who agreed to regular colposcopic follow-up and no immediate treatment. Biopsy specimens were taken under colposcopy for histology and for the determination of HPV and HLA status. Cases were classified into 3 groups: CIN1 regression, persistence for at least 12 months, or progression to CIN2 or 3.
RESULTS: The rate of spontaneous regression (95% confidence interval) at 24 months was 51.6% (3961.6%) overall compared with 34.7% (13.450.8%) in HPV16/18 positive cases and 59.9% (43.771.4%) in HPV16/18-negative cases (P = .051). The rate of regression was 71.8% (40.886.5%) in patients with HLA-DRB1*13 and 45.9% (31.557.2%) in patients with other genotypes (P = .03). Regression reached 90.5% (38.998.5%) at 18 months in DRB1*13 patients with HPV16/18-negativeassociated CIN (15.1% of the cases). In multivariable analysis, HLA-DRB1*13 allele and HPV16/18-negative status were independently associated with an increased probability for regression (adjusted hazard ratio 2.1 [1.04.1] and 2.5 [1.25.4], respectively).
CONCLUSION: A subset of approximately 15% of CIN1 highly likely to show spontaneous regression can be defined using 2 biologic parameters that characterize the viral causative agent and the host.
LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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HPV typing was performed as previously reported.13 Cases positive by polymerase chain reaction technique using consensus primers (GP5+/GP6+) only were referred as HPVX. The DNA extracted from tumor tissue specimens for HPV typing was also used for HLA typing. The typing of DQA1, DQB1, and DRB1 was performed by polymerase chain reaction specific sequence oligonucleotide (SSO) reverse dot blot (INNO-LiPA, Innogenetics, Ghent, Belgium).
For statistical analysis,
2 or Fisher exact tests were used when appropriate to compare proportions. The Kruskal-Wallis test was used when necessary to compare means. We estimated the risk of regression at 24 months using the Kaplan-Meier product-limit method. Log rank tests were used for comparing the risk of regression between the subgroups of potential risk factors. The Cox model was used for multivariate analysis. All tests were 2-tailed, and differences were considered significant at P < .05. The analysis was carried out using the S-PLUS 2000 software (Insightful Inc., Seattle, WA).
| RESULTS |
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Analysis of disease outcome showed that the overall rate of regression was 23.8% (95% confidence interval 14.132.4%) at 12 months and 51.6% (3961.6%) at 24 months. This rate was 61.9% (44.873.7%) in women aged 30 years or younger and 36.8% (17.451.7%) in women aged older than 30 years (P = .03). Comparing the course of the disease to the HPV status, the rate of regression was 34.7% (13.450.8%) at 24 months in cases associated with HPV16/18 and 59.9% (43.771.4%) in the remaining cases (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 2.0 [1.04.3], P = .051) (Fig. 1). Comparison between HLA-DR status and disease outcome showed that the 24-months rate of regression was 71.8% (40.886.5%) in patients with HLA-DRB1*13 and 45.9% (31.557.2%) in patients with other genotypes (unadjusted HR = 2.1 [1.14.0], P = .03) (Fig. 2). Eight of 9 patients with DRB1*1302 genotype showed regression.
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The probability of regression was also analyzed according to HPV and HLA-DRB1*13 status. In the group of HLA-DRB1*13 patients with HPV16/18-negativeassociated CIN1 (15.1% of the cases), the regression rate was 90.5% (38.998.5%) (Fig. 3). The lowest regression rate, 31.8% (6.950%), was found in patients with HLA-DRB1*13-negative allele and presenting CIN1 associated with HPV16/18. The other 2 groups showed 42.9% (069.9%) and 52.1% (33.965.3%) (Fig. 3) (P = .003). No significant difference was found when comparing mean ages among the 4 groups of patients.
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We performed multivariable analysis using age, DRB1*13 status, and HPV16/18 status as covariates. The adjusted HR for regression within 24 months in HLA-DRB1*13 patients compared with patients with other alleles was 2.1 (1.04.1) (P < .04). The adjusted HR for patients with negative HPV16/18 status compared with those with positive HPV16/18 status was 2.5 (1.25.4) (P = .02). Age did not contribute significantly to the final model. No significant interaction was found between HPV status and DRB1*13 status. The DRB1*13 status adjusted on HPV16/18 status still played an independent role on regression. Furthermore, no significant association was observed between the course of CIN1 and the frequency of other alleles previously reported to present positive or negative associations with invasive cancer (DRB1*1001, DRB1*1101, DRB1*1501, DRB1*0301, or DQB1*0301, data not shown).
| DISCUSSION |
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We did not observe a predominance of specific HPV type in the HLA-DRB1*13 patients. Further analyses are necessary to determine whether this association could be due to the presentation of HPV peptides common to various viral types by the HLA-DRB1*13, leading to an efficient immune response. In HPV16/18-associated lesions, the positive DRB1*13 effect may be counterbalanced by the high oncogenicity of these virus types. Even in HLA-DRB1*13-negative patients associated with HPV16/18, the spontaneous rate of regression was still approximately 30%. The increased frequency of the DQB1*0301 allele, which has been reported in CIN1/214 and CIN3,15,16 was not seen in our patient population.
In conclusion, our analysis showed that regression of CIN1 was preferentially associated with the HLA-DRB1*13 genotype, particularly in cases with HPV types of intermediate oncogenicity. A CIN1 outcome could thus be predicted in a large proportion of cases by the assessment of viral and host-immunogenetic factors. Most CIN1 do not require specific treatment. The classical concept of progression from CIN1 to CIN2 or 3 is controversial,17 and it has been shown that high-grade CIN may develop de novo. Whether our results could be extended to the evolution of CIN2 or 3 is important. The proportion of DRB1*13 patients with HPV16/18 status-negative represented less than 2% of the population of invasive cancers analyzed in our previous study.13 In addition to lower DRB1*13 genotype frequency found in women with invasive cancer from various geographic origin, this strongly suggests that the natural history of high-grade CIN also depends, at least in part, on the HLA-DR and HPV status of the patients. Confirmation of this hypothesis would be of great practical clinical interest. Objective biologic criteria would permit the differentiation of CIN2 or 3 corresponding to potential precursors of invasive cancer requiring immediate ablative therapy from those cases in which treatment could be delayed. This would allow a substantial benefit in terms of cost and morbidity in the care of high-grade CIN, particularly in young women. Because 40% to 50% of CIN2 or 3 correspond to HPV16/18-negative lesions18,19 and the frequency of HLA-DRB1*13 is 2229% in the general population,7,13 915% of the patients with de novo CIN2 or 3 would be expected to be found in the high regression group. The definition of the viral epitopes at the basis of the association reported here is of interest in the field of prophylactic and curative immunotherapy.
| Footnotes |
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10.1097/01.AOG.0000139834.84628.61
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