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ORIGINAL RESEARCH |
OD 450 Values Accurately Predict Severe Fetal Anemia in D-Alloimmunization
From the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, and Department of Medical Statistics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Address reprint requests to: Frank P. H. A. Vandenbussche, MD, PhD, Leiden University Medical Center, Department of Obstetrics, K6-32, P.O. Box 9600, 2300 RC Leiden, the Netherlands; E-mail: frank.vandenbussche{at}lumc.nl.
| ABSTRACT |
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OD 450 values in the second and third trimesters of D-alloimmunized pregnancies.
METHODS: We searched our database for singleton D-alloimmunized pregnancies with nonhydropic fetuses, where amniocentesis was performed within 4 days of first fetal blood sampling. Amniotic fluid
OD 450 values were plotted on an extrapolated Lileys chart. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated for two commonly used cutoff levels, Lileys zone 3 and the upper third of Lileys zone 2. Severe fetal anemia was defined as a hemoglobin concentration of more than 5 standard deviations below the normal mean for corresponding gestational age.
RESULTS: Seventy-nine pregnancies met our inclusion criteria. Overall accuracy of the extrapolated Lileys curve in predicting severe fetal anemia was 75% (95% confidence interval [CI] 64, 84) for zone 3 and 86% (95% CI 77, 93) when the upper third of zone 2 was included. Sensitivity of
OD 450 values in Lileys zone 3 or the upper third of Lileys zone 2 was 95% (95% CI 74, 100) before and 98% (95% CI 89, 100) after 27 weeks.
CONCLUSION: Lileys extrapolated curve predicts severe fetal anemia with reasonable accuracy and high sensitivity.
In 1961, Liley proposed amniotic fluid sampling to measure deviation of optical density at 450 nm (
OD 450) to predict life-threatening fetal anemia in the third trimester.1 After intrauterine intravascular transfusion became a relatively safe procedure as early as 18 weeks, the original Lileys chart was extrapolated to the second trimester to also predict severe anemia there. This was done by linear extension of the two lines that divide Lileys three zones.24 The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) recommends serial amniocentesis in pregnancies at risk, followed by intrauterine intravascular transfusion or early delivery when
OD 450 values are in Lileys zone 3 or in the upper third of Lileys zone 2 and rising.5 Several authors have proposed management schemes based on different cutoff values for
OD 450.612 Among these, the Queenan chart is the most popular.10 In 1986, Nicolaides et al concluded that
OD 450 values were unreliable as predictors of severe anemia in second-trimester pregnancies.13 Others also questioned the value of
OD 450 during the third trimester.8,1416 These doubts applied both to Lileys original chart and to modified versions.14 However, these studies included amniotic fluid samples that were taken more than a week before the "gold standard" blood sample, and included cases with Kell antibodies where anemia is partially caused by erythroid precursor damage and not merely by the results of hemolysis.17,18 These studies also included cases of hydrops fetalis, where
OD 450 is not only unreliable but also superfluous.19,20
A critical evaluation of the diagnostic performance of
OD 450 measurement is warranted because new non-invasive methods are being introduced to replace amniocentesis.21,22 These methods are based on the fact that blood viscosity, which declines along with hematocrit, is inversely related to maximum blood flow velocities in fetal vessels. The proponents of these Doppler methods claim great accuracy in the prediction of fetal anemia.2225 As a first step in comparing amniocentesis and noninvasive Doppler, we evaluated the ability of
OD 450 values to predict severe fetal anemia.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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OD 450 is performed to avoid unnecessary fetal blood sampling. For the data in this study, we followed our centers established procedure, performing the first intrauterine intravascular transfusion when
OD 450 was in zone 3, or in the upper third of zone 2 and rising.5 In some fetuses after 27 weeks and in most before 27 weeks, the decision to perform the first intrauterine intravascular transfusion was based on ultrasound findings alone. In these cases, when a transamniotic approach to the fetal umbilical vein was necessary, amniotic fluid was collected and
OD 450 measured for the purpose of this study. This procedure was approved by the hospitals ethical committee, and in each case oral informed consent of the mother was obtained. The data of all patients were stored in our database (Paradox 9.0, Corel Corp., Ottawa, Canada). We searched this database for the period January 1988 to October 2000 for contemporaneous amniotic fluid and fetal blood samples that met the following criteria: they were taken from fetuses that were 1) rhesus D-alloimunized, 2) nonhydropic, 3) not previously transfused, 4) singleton, and 5) amniotic fluid samples were taken less than 4 days before fetal blood sampling.
Amniotic fluid samples (510 mL), protected from light during transport, were centrifuged at 1000 G for 10 minutes to remove vernix and erythrocytes. The absorption of the supernatant was measured at the wavelengths 365, 450, and 550 nm with an UltrospecPlus spectrofotometer (Amersham Pharmacia Biotech, Little Chalfont, UK). The bilirubin absorption, expressed as
OD 450, was calculated as the difference between the measured absorption at 450 nm and the background absorption at 450 nm. The latter was derived, as described by Liley, from the logarithmic function of the absorptions between 365 and 550 nm.1 Each
OD 450 was measured and entered into our database within an hour after amniocentesis. Only values at or after 27 weeks were used clinically. At intrauterine intravascular transfusion, a small portion of the initial fetal blood sample was used for on-the-spot measurement of hemoglobin concentration and mean red cell volume. Fetal hematocrit was used to calculate the volume of intravascular red cell transfusion.27 The remaining fetal blood of the initial sample was sent to our central laboratory for hematology and other measurements. These latter values were automatically entered into our database and checked by a specialized nurse. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 10.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL).
We copied Lileys original chart1 and found that the upper line that defined zone 2 crossed the vertical lines corresponding with 27 and 41 weeks at
OD 450 of 0.260 and 0.077, respectively; the (parallel) lower line defining zone 2 crossed the vertical line corresponding with 27 weeks at 0.066. We then drew a third parallel line through the
OD 450 of 0.160 at 27 weeks, as the delineation of the upper third of zone 2 (2c). All three lines were extrapolated backwards in a linear fashion from 27 to 18 weeks. Standardized amniotic fluid
OD 450 was calculated by dividing the
OD 450 measurement by the value on the line between zones 1 and 2 for the corresponding gestational age. For example, a
OD 450 of 0.260 nm at 27 weeks and a
OD 450 of 0.141 at 34 weeks are both on the border between zones 2 and 3. Both correspond with a standardized
OD 450 of 3.94. The latter value is found by dividing the
OD 450 measurements (0.260 and 0.141) by the cutoff values on the line between zones 1 and 2 (0.066 and 0.036, respectively) for the corresponding gestational ages. In this way, the standardized
OD 450 is independent of gestational age and indicates how much the measured value was higher than the corresponding boundary value between zones 1 and 2. Standardized values above 3.94 correspond to Lileys values in zone 3.
Normal fetal hemoglobin values increase during gestation. We used the reference values proposed by Nicolaides et al in 1988.28 These reference values were obtained from 210 fetuses, ranging from 17 to 40 weeks, and they have a constant standard deviation (SD) of 1 g/dL.28 For the purpose of this study, we defined severe anemia as hemoglobin concentrations more than 5 SD below the normal mean for gestational age. This cutoff was chosen because a higher cutoff would include fetuses in whom the need of treatment is not warranted, whereas a lower cutoff would include too many cases of hydrops fetalis, which would not only render the use of diagnostic amniocentesis redundant but would also worsen the prognosis significantly.29 Moderate anemia was defined as a hemoglobin concentration more than 2 SD but 5 SD or less below the normal mean for gestational age. Standardized fetal hemoglobin scores were defined as the number of SDs that the actual value deviated from the normal mean for gestational age.
Sensitivity, specificity, and overall accuracy (combined rate of true-positive and true-negative results) were calculated for different
OD 450 cutoffs (Lileys zones 3 and 2c) in the prediction of severe anemia, together with their exact 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Separate analyses were done for gestational ages above and below 27 completed weeks. Pearson R2 was calculated between standardized
OD 450 and standardized hemoglobin. To study if this relation differed before and after 27 weeks, linear regression was performed with standardized hemoglobin as the outcome variable and standardized
OD 450 as the independent variable. The slopes of the regression lines before and after 27 weeks were compared by adding a dummy variable in the regression model, indicating whether the pregnancy was more than 27 weeks, and testing the significance of the interaction term between standardized
OD 450 and the dummy variable.
| RESULTS |
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Figure 1
plots hemoglobin values of these 79 fetuses against their gestational age, compared with the normal range (mean ± 2 SD) of fetal hemoglobin concentration as established by Nicolaides et al28 as well as the -5 SD line that we used as the cutoff for severe anemia. Of the 79 fetuses included in this study, only one had a hemoglobin concentration in the normal range, 11 showed moderate anemia, and 67 had severe anemia at the time of first fetal blood sampling. Amniotic fluid
OD 450 values of the 79 fetuses are shown on the extrapolated Lileys chart (Figure 2
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OD 450 values of the 79 fetuses in our study. The linear correlation between standardized
OD 450 on a logarithmic scale and standardized hemoglobin was low (R2 = 0.096). Pearson R2 between
OD 450 and hemoglobin values was 0.315 for the samples taken before 27 weeks (n = 24) and 0.018 when taken at or after 27 weeks (n = 55). However, the slopes of the regression lines, with standardized hemoglobin as the outcome variable and standardized
OD 450 as the independent variable, did not differ significantly (P = .21) before and after 27 weeks pregnancy. In addition, in Figure 3
OD 450 in the prediction of severe anemia. Accuracy of the extrapolated Lileys curve in predicting severe fetal anemia was 75% (95% CI 64, 84) for zone 3 and 86% (95% CI 77, 93) when the upper third of zone 2 was included. Sensitivity of Lileys zone 3 was 74% (95% CI 49, 91) before and 81% (95% CI 67, 91) after 27 weeks. Sensitivity of Lileys zone 3 including zone 2c was 95% (95% CI 74, 100) before and 98% (95% CI 89, 100) after 27 weeks.
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| DISCUSSION |
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OD 450 with contemporaneous hemoglobin concentration in nonhydropic fetuses who were given their first intrauterine intravascular transfusion. The correlation between
OD 450 and fetal hemoglobin concentration in our study was weak. However, the clinical usefulness of
OD 450 was good because Lileys zones 3 and 2c predicted severe anemia with an overall sensitivity of 79% and 97%, respectively. These sensitivities were roughly the same at gestational ages of 2027 weeks and 2735 weeks. Compared with previous studies on this subject,1315,30 we used very stringent inclusion criteria and collected data on a relatively large number of patients. The data were prospectively collected in our clinical practice, and we adhered to current guidelines.5 We did not measure hemoglobin concentration in fetuses after 27 weeks with
OD 450 in Lileys zone 2 unless repeated measurements showed a rising trend or ultrasound indicated a high risk of fetal anemia.
In 1986, Nicolaides et al published a paper with the challenging title "Have Liley Charts Outlived Their Usefulness?" in which they suggested that second-trimester
OD 450 values were unreliable in predicting severe anemia and that fetal blood sampling should replace amniocentesis.13 After excluding hydropic fetuses from that study, it appears that the upper half of Lileys zone 2 had a 94% sensitivity and a 43% specificity in predicting fetal hemoglobin concentration less than 6 g/dL.13 In 1998, Rahman et al30 confirmed the results of the study by Nicolaides et al13 and also stated that predictions made on the basis of second-trimester
OD 450 measurements are inaccurate. They found an 80% sensitivity of Queenans zone 3 to predict a fetal hematocrit below 15%. Nevertheless, given the difference in procedure-related risk between amniocentesis and fetal blood sampling, we believe that sensitivities between 80% and 100%, as found by using the upper third of Lileys zone 2, are acceptable. Therefore, we argue that
OD 450 measurements in the second and third trimester are still useful.
ACOG recommends diagnostic amniocentesis for alloimmunization with high antibody titers from as early as 20 weeks gestation and therapeutic intervention when
OD 450 is in Lileys zone 3 or rising in the upper third of zone 2.5 The results of our study support this guideline: a 95% sensitivity for detecting severe fetal anemia was found. A specificity of 50% or less and the risk of repeated amniocentesis remain the major drawbacks of this approach. False-positive results of amniocentesis can lead to unnecessary intrauterine intravascular transfusions with procedure-related fetal loss rates of 13%.31 Fetal and perinatal procedure-related loss rates are reported to be 0.251% per amniocentesis.32,33 Another drawback of amniocentesis or fetal blood sampling is the risk of fetomaternal hemorrhage, which can increase the severity of alloimmunization. Fetomaternal hemorrhage occurs in 2.3% of cases after amniocentesis, and a significant increase in antibody titers occurs in 50% of cases after intrauterine intravascular transfusion.34,35 Thus, there is still a need for noninvasive tests that can predict fetal anemia with equal or higher accuracy.
Recent studies suggest that arterial and venous Doppler flow velocities in fetal vessels accurately predict anemia.2225 These studies report that Doppler measurements have sensitivities between 63% and 100% and specificities between 70% and 100% in the prediction of severe fetal anemia when performed by experienced operators.2225 However, there is a tendency to be overly optimistic about early results with new techniques. We are presently involved in a prospective multicenter trial to compare the diagnostic accuracy between
OD 450 measurements and maximum flow velocity in the fetal middle cerebral artery and the intrahepatic umbilical vein. Until the results of such prospective studies are available, we suggest that amniocentesis for
OD 450 measurement is still important in the management of severe rhesus D-alloimmunization.
| Footnotes |
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OD 450 measurements used in this study. Received November 27, 2001. Received in revised form January 17, 2002. Accepted February 7, 2002.
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